DSS News 
                          D. J. Power, Editor 
                     March 16, 2003 -- Vol. 4, No. 6 
               A Bi-Weekly Publication of DSSResources.COM 


       AMCIS 2003 Call for Papers. Submissions due March 17, 2003. 



       * Ask Dan! - How has and will Moore's Law impact computerized 
       decision support? 
       * What's New at DSSResources.COM 
       * DSS News Releases 


       Check the article by A. Mohamed on Teaching Decision 
       Support Systems Using Spreadsheets at DSSResources.COM 

       Ask Dan! 
       by Daniel J. Power 

       How has and will Moore's Law impact computerized decision support? 

       There is a certain comfort that comes from identifying predictive 
       "natural" laws. They simplify and make sense of otherwise complex 
       phenomena. Moore's Law has provided that type of comfort to many 
       technologists for almost 40 years. So what is Moore's Law? 

       In 1965, Gordon Moore wrote a paper for Electronics magazine in a 
       feature "The experts look ahead" titled "Cramming more components onto 
       integrated circuits". He began "The future of integrated electronics is 
       the future of electronics itself. The advantages of integration will 
       bring about a proliferation of electronics, pushing this science into 
       many new areas. Integrated circuits will lead to such wonders as home 
       computers ..." 

       According to the Intel web site, Moore observed an exponential growth in 
       the number of transistors per integrated circuit and predicted that the 
       trend would continue. The popularized statement of Moore's Law is that 
       the number of transistors in an integrated circuit doubles every 18 to 
       24 months. Intel expects Moore's Law will continue at least through the 
       end of this decade. The "mission of Intel's technology development team 
       is to continue to break down barriers to Moore's Law". 

       Gordon Moore helped found Fairchild Semiconductor and then Intel. His 
       efforts and those of his colleagues made sure integrated circuit 
       technology evolved and improved at the predicted rate of progress. 

       The evidence of the past 35 years supports the conclusion Moore reached 
       in 1965. Intel introduced the 4004 microprocessor in 1971 with 2,250 
       components. The 8008 chip introduced in 1972 had 2,500. By 1974, the 
       8080 chip had 5,000 components. The groundbreaking 8086 microprocessor 
       of 1978 had 29,000 components. In 1982, the 286 chip had 120,000; the 
       386 processor in 1985 had 275,000; by 1989 the 486 DX processor had 
       1,180,000 components on a small chip. Once the million barrier was 
       broken, the number and density of components expanded rapidly. In 1993, 
       the Pentium processor had 3,100,000 components and the Pentium II 
       processor in 1997 had 7,500,000. In 1999, Intel introduced the Pentium 
       III processor with 24,000,000 components. Approximately 18 months later, 
       Intel announced the Pentium 4 processor with 42,000,000 components. On 
       March 12, 2003, Intel introduced it's Centrino mobile technology 
       integrating wireless capability. 

       The two most important Integrated Circuit product categories are the 
       microprocessor and memory devices. These products provide the technology 
       that enables computerized decision support. As the technology has 
       gotten more powerful and more cost effective new applications have 
       become feasible. 

       Improvements in microelectronics have stimulated and enabled the 
       development of decision support technologies. The earliest Integrated 
       Circuits provided some limited decision support capabilities for Apollo 
       Space missions. The chips of the late 1970s made it possible to develop 
       spreadsheets and PC-based decision support applications. Specialized 
       chips in the early 1980s stimulated Artificial Intelligence research. 
       The 386 and 486 DX processor made client-server applications and GDSS 
       feasible. Improvements in memory size and speed in the early 1990s made 
       data warehousing feasible. Putting more components on microprocessors 
       miniturized our computers and supported development of innovative input 
       and output technologies. Suppliers of innovative microelectronics make 
       innovative DSS possible. 

       There seems to be a 2-3 year lag in the diffusion of improvements in 
       microelectronics into decision support applications. Currently, the 
       capability of the Pentium 4 for enhanced graphics and visualization is 
       reflected more in video games than in DSS. The Centrino mobile 
       innovation can potentially expand the presence of decision support in 
       our work and personal lives. 

       Moore's Law has served as a stimulus and benchmark for developments in 
       microelectronics and information processing. It has become a driver of 
       innovation and progress in the semiconductor industry. Expectations 
       matter! Decision support applications need to exploit the enhanced 
       capabilities that result from cramming more components on integrated 

       There has been a mutually beneficial relationship between innovation in 
       semiconductors and end-use decision support applications. The advance of 
       technology lets us work to implement what we can envision to create 
       innovative DSS. Advanced decision support will result from technology 
       advances, opportunistic and fortuitous circumstances, and from the 
       active imaginations and dedicated actions of innovators. 



       Moore, Gordon E., "Cramming more components onto integrated circuits", 
       Electronics, Vol. 38, No. 8, April 19, 1965, URL 

       Schaller, Bob, "The Origin, Nature, and Implications of 'MOORE'S LAW': 
       The Benchmark of Progress in Semiconductor Electronics", September 26, 


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       What's New at DSSResources.COM 

       03/14/2003 Posted Mohamed, A., "Teaching Decision Support Systems using 
       Spreadsheets". Check the articles page. 

       03/07/2003 Silicon Graphics Staff, "Thomson Consumer Products Division 
       uses visualization technology for decision support", sgi, Inc., 2002. 
       Check the case studies page. 

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       DSS News Releases - March 3 to March 14, 2003 

       03/14/2003 IBM ranks #1 in worldwide revenue for high performance 

       03/13/2003 CrossAccess Corporation announces J2EE connector architecture 
       support for legacy mainframe data integration. 

       03/13/2003 OpenEAI Project releases functional open source sample 

       03/12/2003 PeopleSoft Enterprise Portal 8.8 first to deliver integrated 
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       03/12/2003 Intel launches Intel? Centrino? mobile technology. 

       03/12/2003 Canada's largest retailer Hudson's Bay Company selects 
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       03/12/2003 Oracle delivers enhanced data integration tool for 
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       03/12/2003 Baan launches new SupportEye Knowledge-Based diagnostic 
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       03/12/2003 General Dynamics selected to integrate next-generation 
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       03/12/2003 New study points to organizational politics as key barrier to 
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       03/12/2003 Space Imaging introduces IKONOS Standard Ortho satellite 
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       03/11/2003 Island Pacific signs first contract for decision support 
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       03/11/2003 MEDecision integrates medical management at Blue Cross and 
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       03/10/2003 New web tools help consumers pick a hospital, assess health 
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       03/06/2003 PM Solutions introduces first assessment tool for measuring 
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       03/05/2003 Mark's Work Wearhouse selects Crystal Decisions to take pulse 
       of sales at 300+ stores. 

       03/04/2003 Intergraph's IntelliWhere Division and Trimble team to 
       deliver mobile resource management solutions. 

       03/03/2003 Leading worldwide retailer Benetton Group selects 

       03/03/2003 Herman Miller uses Business Objects to deliver key data to 
       the corporate desktop. 

       03/03/2003 Extended Systems strengthens Mobile Solutions Kit with 
       real-time mobile groupware access capabilities. 

       03/03/2003 PricingExpert(R) acts as complete solution for gas sales, 
       marketing, contract management and forward book management. 

       03/03/2003 Manufacturing companies continue to select PeopleSoft Supply 
       Chain Management; Manufacturing and Supply Chain Planning solutions 
       drive strong demand. 

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