************************************************************ DSS News D. J. Power, Editor April 13, 2003 -- Vol. 4, No. 8 A Bi-Weekly Publication of DSSResources.COM ************************************************************ Call for Papers: Special issue of DSS Journal on Web-based Decision Support. Contact bhargava@computer.org, power@uni.edu or daewons@psu.edu ************************************************************ Featured: * Ask Dan! - Can using a DSS have unintended negative consequences? * Call for Papers: Web-based Decision Support * What's New at DSSResources.COM * DSS News Releases ************************************************************ DSS News has more than 900 subscribers from 50 countries. Please forward this newsletter to people interested in DSS. ************************************************************ Ask Dan! Can using a DSS have unintended negative consequences? by Dan Power YES! Researchers and managers often focus too much on the anticipated positive consequences of using a specific Decision Support System. Nadeeka Silva emailed me recently (3/14/2003) asking for some help in answering some provocative questions about unintended negative consequences of DSS. I'm assuming Nadeeka is taking a DSS class so I'm broadening the assignment questions and responding publicly in this Ask Dan! column. My answer is a starting point that leaves many opportunities for Nadeeka and Ask Dan! readers to extend the analysis. The first "assignment" question states "The best DSS cannot overcome a faulty decision maker. It cannot force a decision maker to make a request of it, pay attention to its responses, or properly factor its responses into the decision that is made. Do you agree with this statement? Justify your answer." I generally agree with the statement. It points out that a DSS cannot completely overcome the ability and attitude limitations of the person who is using it. We are all "faulty decision makers". Each of us makes some bad, wrong or incorrect decisions even when supported by a DSS. A task specific Decision Support System is intended to increase the quality and effectiveness of a specific decision or decisions. A well-designed DSS has the potential to assist those decisions makers who can and do use it. A DSS can improve a decision maker's "batting average". In some situations a decision maker learns from using a DSS about criteria, facts or process issues that need to be considered in a specific decision situation. DSS encourage and promote "rationality" in decision making. The goals of a DSS are not however always achieved! So what is the correct conclusion? Companies and individuals that don't recognize the limitations of DSS and of decision makers will be surprised when a DSS doesn't improve decision making for some users. Even though it is an unintended negative consequence, some decision makers may actually be hindered by a DSS and a poorly designed DSS can negatively impact even the "best" decision maker. Another "assignment question" also raises the issue of unintended consequences of using a DSS. The question states "There is a DSS danger: the danger of overdependence on a DSS, of blindly following the DSS, or of interacting with it in an entirely mechanical and unimaginative fashion. Do you agree with this statement? Justify your answer." Many people believe the above statement is true and it seems reasonable that these "dangers" can and do happen. I am not however aware of empirical research that confirms these "dangers". We don't know how likely "overdependence" is, or if some users will "blindly follow" or mechanically interact with some or all types of DSS. I'm assuming "overdependence" means a person can not make a specific decision without using a DSS. For many DSS, the intent is that users will become "dependent" on using it. If decisions are improved, then the goal of training, reinforcements and rewards should be to promote regular and habitual use of the DSS. Managers and DSS users who recognize the "dangers" are sensitized to them and that makes the "dangers" less likely to occur or less likely to cause harm. DSS are intended to support not replace decision makers so users need to consciously interact with a DSS to use it effectively. The expectation needs to be created that the human decision maker is the ultimate authority and that the user can "over rule" or choose to ignore analyses and recommendations of the DSS. The "dangers" raised in this question warrant our attention and certainly they should be studied, but they do not justify avoiding the use of a DSS or rejecting a proposed DSS project. So how would you answer these "assignment" questions and in particular how would you justify your answers? Can you provide any evidence to support your conclusions? As always, I welcome your comments. ************************************************************ Subscribe to DSSResources.COM. One month $10, six months $25. Visit http://dssresources.com/subscriber/subscriber.html ************************************************************ Call for Papers: Web-based Decision Support Special issue of the journal Decision Support Systems will focus on research on web-based decision support. Guest editors for the special issue are Hemant K. Bhargava, Pennsylvania State University, Daniel J. Power, University of Northern Iowa, and Daewon Sun, Pennsylvania State University . Please email Daewon Sun (daewons@psu.edu) of your plans to submit a paper by May 31, 2003. Final papers are due September 30, 2003. ************************************************************ Check the case "Estimating Software Yields Higher Profits at Liberty Brass" by TechComm Associates at DSSResources.COM ************************************************************ What's New at DSSResources.COM 04/04/2003 Posted TechComm Associates Staff, "Estimating software yields higher profits at Liberty Brass", Micro Estimating Systems, 2001. ************************************************************ DSS News Releases - March 31 to April 11, 2003 04/11/2003 Documentum wins three awards at AIIM 2003. 04/10/2003 Intergraph announces new GeoMedia Software subscription program. 04/10/2003 SAIC team wins Army live training transformation program. 04/10/2003 IDC says Oracle is clear leader in the global geospatial database management market. 04/09/2003 ePocrates delivers clinical information to the point of care on the Pocket PC. 04/09/2003 Crystal Decisions unveils Crystal Analysis Professional 9. 04/08/2003 ProClarity's Enterprise Analytics grow revenue and reduce costs for leading retailers and consumer packaged goods companies. 04/08/2003 Comshare customers share the real-world value of Corporate Performance Management at International Business Conference. 04/08/2003 Leading soft drinks company Britvic adopts MicroStrategy BI platform as its enterprise standard. 04/08/2003 Polycom to demo recently announced breakthrough new products and interoperability solutions at FOSE Show. 04/08/2003 Sun increases affordability of network computer with new sub $3,000 SPARC/Solaris servers. 04/07/2003 RSA Security and Documentum team to deliver secure content collaboration across the extended enterprise. 04/07/2003 Intergraph software grant promotes growth of GIS and geospatial practices at California State Polytechnic University, Pomona. 04/07/2003 Encoda Systems chooses MicroStrategy for media industry's first integrated web-based advertising analytics tool. 04/07/2003 FNIS announces FNIS HQ Score(TM) - a revolutionary predictive collateral score solution for risk management. 04/07/2003 Questerra delivers location-enabled insurance solution for risk management, underwriting and reporting. 04/04/2003 IBM announces industry's first blueprint for managing complex computing environments. 04/04/2003 Who Is the Greatest, Nicklaus or Woods? Crystal Ball Forecasting Software Knows! 04/03/2003 Participate in Information Architecture Team Data Quality Survey. 04/02/2003 ProClarity Announces 4th Annual Worldwide Conference; Maastricht, The Netherlands, May 19 - 21, 2003. 04/02/2003 Hyperion extends its Business Performance Management leadership with solutions for financial and operational decision makers. 04/01/2003 Cognos and IBM expand relationship to deliver business intelligence solutions worldwide. 04/01/2003 Real-time business intelligence takes off at Forward Air with Appfluent technology. 03/28/2003 Call for Papers: Special issue of DSS Journal on Web-based Decision Support. ************************************************************ Tell your friends! Get DSS NEWS free -- send a blank email to dssresources-subscribe@topica.com. ************************************************************ DSS News is copyrighted (c) 2003 by D. J. Power. Please send your questions to daniel.power@dssresources.com. |